England risks 75,000 deaths in 5 months: the squeeze

The wave impressed by the Omicron variant the pandemic could become a global tsunami in january, with the help of Christmas repatriation. Fear takes shape above all in UK, where the health security agency provides one million people infected by the end of the year and where experts fear between 25,000 and 75,000 dead in England alone I enter April, if you do not intervene with a a new understanding of people’s lives: measures to which many Britons are notoriously resistant.

Imminent risk

The feeling for everyone is of impending risk. The new virus has crossed the oceans and landed in Taiwan and to the islands Maurice. And in America, a sin Europe, after several months of return from the “seriously ill of the world”, they try to cover themselves against the imminent risk, without waiting to know if the super-contagious variant sequenced in South Africa is “nicer” towards humans than the Delta . In the United States, where each state has a different incidence of disease and produces different countermeasures, along lines often more political than medical, New York Governor Kathy Hochul has reintroduced the requirement to wear masks in public spaces to inside from next Monday until January 15, with heavy fines for delinquents. In the state, cases rose 43% and hospitalizations by 29% after Thanksgiving.

Germany

The Germany, where only 69.5% of the population (or 57.8 million people) received double doses and where the situation is qualified by the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (Ecdc) as “worrying”, yesterday crossed a historic milestone, vaccinating more than a million doses in just 24 hours. In Belgium, where the situation, as in Italy, is more under control, the number of people admitted to intensive care is increasing.

Childhood vaccination

In this situation, the dilemma of childhood immunizations is mounting everywhere: a debate also accelerated by the Omicron wave on the horizon. The Prime Minister French, Jean Castex today expressed the “need” to vaccinate those under 11, recalling that he himself was infected (with minor consequences because he was vaccinated) by his eleven-year-old daughter, while he Swiss the drug agency Swissmedic approved the vaccination of children aged 5 to 11 years with messenger mRNA preparations.

All eyes are on the UK.

But today the eyes are riveted UK. The terrifying range between 25,000 and 75,000 potential deaths within five months – with the severity of the Omicron infection unknown – assumed by researchers at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and the growing number of new variant infections (633 in 24 hours, 50% more than the day before, out of an average of 50 to 60,000 infections with old variants per day) could render Plan B obsolete. the green pass for many indoor events, recently introduced in the country which reopened everything in July.

For now, even the booster. The “unspoken” is a potential Plan C which, according to Sky News, could introduce restrictions on visits to nursing homes, meetings, encourage working from home and reserve closed public spaces only for those who have received at least two doses of the vaccine: a concept similar to ‘super green pass’ Italian.


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